Conference Schedule
Friday September 25, 9:00-10:00 AM1. Opening Plenary - Recent Cuban Economic and Political TrendsIntroduction: Rafael Romeu, DevTech Systems and ASCE President
Jorge R. Piñon, University of Texas at Austin, Energy and electricity
Emilio Morales, The Havana Consulting Group, Finances and foreign debt
Jorge I. Domínguez, Harvard University (retired), Politics and foreign relations
Omar Everleny Pérez Villanueva, Centro Cristiano de Reflexión y Diálogo-Cuba, Macroeconomic trends
Friday September 25, 10:00-10:15 AMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Friday September 25, 10:15-11:40 AM2. Sanctions and FinancingChair: Roger de la Torre
Discussant: Juan Antonio Blanco, Cuba Siglo 21
José Pineda, et. Al., DevTech Systems, “Aligning Incentives for Venezuela's Post-Earthquake Recovery: A Governance and Financing Framework for Recovery after Venezuelan Earthquakes”
Emilio Morales, The Havana Consulting Group, “GAESA and U.S. sanctions”
Nicolas C. Gonzalez, University of Minnesota Law School, “Bargaining with Cuba After CIMEX”
Friday September 25, 10:15-11:40 AM3. Critical Sectors: Agriculture and MiningChair: Tony Costa, Foundation for Human Rights in Cuba
Discussant: René Costales, Inter-American Development Bank, retired
William Messina, University of Florida, “Challenges and Opportunities for Cuba’s Agricultural Recovery in the Midst of Economic Turmoil”
Mario González-Corzo, Lehman College, CUNY, “Market-Oriented Reforms and Agricultural Enterprise Performance: Lessons from China”
Evan M. Leon, The Critical Minerals Company, Inc., “Revitalizing the Cuban Mining Industry: Practical Considerations & Approaches”
Friday September 25, 11:40-12:50 PMASCE Luncheon
Friday September 25, 12:50-1:00 PMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Friday September 25, 1:00-2:15 PM4. After the Fall, Part I: Macroeconomic IssuesChair: Gary S. Maybarduk, Ed: After the Fall Project
Discussant: John Devereux, Queens College, CUNY
Armando S. Linde, IMF (retired), “Cuba's New Dawn: Reconstruction and Institutional Stability under Post-Authoritarian Governance”
Paul Meo, World Bank (retired), and Lorenzo L. Pérez, IMF (retired), “Public Sector Challenges and Recommendations for Cuba’s Recovery”
Juan Tomás Sánchez, Cuba Sugarcane Growers Association, Inc., “Rebuilding Cuba’s Sugar Industry: A Self-liquidating Pathway for Industrial Restoration and Claims Resolution”
Friday September 25, 1:00-2:15 PM5. Transition, Security, and GeoeconomicsChair: Brian Fonseca, Jack D. Gordon Institute for Public Policy, FIU
Discussant: Juan Carlos Espinosa, Dean & Senior Fellow at FIU Honors College
Tomasz Wiśniewski, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, “Cuba’s Energy Transition under Constraint: Vulnerability, Strategic Hedging, and Partnership Diversification”
Teo A. Babún, President & CEO at Outreach Aid to the Americas, Inc., “Parapolice, State Security, and Surveillance in Cuba”
Jose Pineda, et al., DevTech Systems, “Informal Exchange Rates and Social Unrest: Detecting Instability in Cuba Through Media Event Data”
José Jasán Nieves, El TOQUE, “Medios independientes como infraestructura cívica de datos: el caso cubano”
Friday September 25, 2:15-2:30 PMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Friday September 25, 2:30-3:55 PM6. After the Fall, Part II: Rule of Law and Institutional IssuesChair: Gustavo Arnavat, The Cuba Foundation
Discussant: Jason Poblete, Poblete Tamargo LLP
Jorge I. Domínguez, Harvard University (retired), “New Constitutions for Cuba: Transitional versus Permanent Constitutions”
Natalia Delgado, Cuba Capacity Building Project, Columbia Law School, “Rule of Law; The Key to Attracting Foreign Direct Investment and Developing Cuba's Economy”
Gary S. Maybarduk, Ed: After the Fall Project, “Addressing the Issue of Confiscated Properties”
Friday September 25, 2:30-3:55 PM7. Cuba’s Network Infrastructure Crisis: A Framework for ReformChair: Enrique S. Pumar, Fay Boyle University Professor Emeritus at Santa Clara University and Senior Lecturer at Johns Hopkins University
Discussant: Bryan Roberts, DevTech Systems
Jorge R. Piñon, University of Texas, “Cuba’s Transition Toward an Open Access Fuels Distribution and Marketing System”
Helena Solo-Gabriele, University of Miami, “Reforming Havana’s Water Infrastructure: Economic Analysis and Public Health Implications for a Cuban Transition”
Juan A. B. Belt, International Finance and Economics LLC; Senior Fellow, Public Utility Research Center, University of Florida, “Reforming the Power and Telecommunications Sectors During a Transition"
Friday September 25, 3:55-4:10 PMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Friday September 25, 4:10-5:15 PMKeynote PanelJoin FIU President Jeanette M. Nuñez and former CNBC correspondent Michelle Caruso-Cabrera as they bring together Brian Fonseca, José Miguel Cruz, José Jasán Nieves, and Rafael Romeu for a timely discussion on emerging data, new analytical tools, and evolving insights from Cuba.
Friday September 25, 5:15-6:45 PMASCE ReceptionSponsored by Steven J. Green School
Saturday September 26, 8:00-9:00 AMASCE Business MeetingMembers only please.
Saturday September 26, 9:00-9:10 AMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Saturday September 26, 9:10-10:35 AM8. Financing the ReconstructionChair: Tony Jimenez, Medina Ventures
Discussant: Thomas Laryea, Partner, Orrick; former IMF legal counsel
Rafael Romeu and Gabriel DiBella, “Cuba Day Zero: Stabilization, Reconstruction, and the Path to Investment”
Jorge Pérez-Lopez, U.S. Department of Labor (retired), and Sergio Díaz-Briquets, International Consultant, “The Diaspora’s Potential Contribution to the Cuban Reconstruction”
Sergio “Serge” Leon, Co-Founder at Ingenio Ventures / PaHoy, “Entrepreneurship as Infrastructure: Expanding Opportunity in Cuba Through Technology and Financial Access”
Saturday September 26, 9:10-10:35 AM9. Proposals for a Cuban Transition IChair: Carlos Saladrigas, Cuba Study Group
Discussant: Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, CNBC
Leonel Regalado Cardoso, Texas Tech University, and Carlos Martínez, George Mason University, “From Das Kapital to Venture Capital: Cuban Entrepreneurial Elites Exiled in South Florida”
Mauricio de Miranda, Pedro Monreal, Omar Everleny Pérez Villanueva, Ricardo Torres, and Pavel Vidal, “Cuba Transformación: Propuesta Para Transformar la Economía Cubana”
Saturday September 26, 10:35-10:50 AMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Saturday September 26, 10:50-12:15 PM10. Proposals for a Cuban Transition IIChair: Marcell Felipe, American Museum of the Cuban Diaspora
Discussant: Alfredo Cuzán, University of West Florida
John Devereux, Queens College, CUNY; Luis Locay, University of Miami; Bryan Roberts, DevTech Systems; and Carlos Seiglie, Rutgers University, “How Should Cuba Pursue Systemic Transformation? Insights from Other Experiences and Economic Theory”
Mariusz-Jan Radło, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, “From Reform Models to Structural Roles: Cuba as a Small Power in a Reconfigured Hemispheric Order”
Raudiel F. Peña Barrios, “Cuba’s Non-Transitional Mutation: Economic Pluralism as a Tool for Post-totalitarian Resilience (1959-2026)”
Saturday September 26, 10:50-12:15 PM11. El quiebre de la sostenibilidad de la vida en Cuba: análisis y desafíos de la asistencia humanitaria y las políticas sociales en un escenario de cambioChair: Sergio Díaz-Briquets, SDB Consulting
Discussant: Silvia Pedraza, University of Michigan
Elaine Acosta González, FIU, “El traspaso de la responsabilidad del bienestar en Cuba: políticas sociales en un contexto de transición, crisis humanitaria y envejecimiento demográfico acelerado”
Sergio Ángel Baquero, Food Monitor Program and Fundación 4Métrica, “Empeoramiento crítico de la seguridad alimentaria en Cuba, 2022-2025: Evidencia del Índice de Seguridad Alimentaria y el Mapa del Hambre del Food Monitor Program”
Laritza Diversent, Cubalex, “Obstáculos legales a la asistencia humanitaria en Cuba y su impacto en las políticas sociales”
Saturday September 26, 12:15-1:25 PMASCE Luncheon
Saturday September 26, 1:25-1:35 PMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Saturday September 26, 1:35-3:00 PM12. Quantitative Studies on Cuban Economic Growth in Historical PerspectiveChair: Mario Murgado, Murgado Automotive Group
Discussant: TBA
John Devereux, Queens College, CUNY, “The Weight of History”
Carlos Martínez and Vincent Geloso, George Mason University, “Red Smoke: The Effect of the Cuban Revolution on Emissions”
Bryan Roberts, DevTech Systems, “Passenger Vehicles in Cuba During 1926-2019 in a Comparative International Context”
Aidah Gil, Ingenio CIX, “Monopsony to Monopoly: El Diferencial Azucarero as Fiscal Protocol and Its Digital Successor, 1946-2026”
Saturday September 26, 1:35-3:00 PM13. Social and Economic IssuesChair: Sebastián Arcos, Interim Director of the Institute for Cuban Studies at FIU
Discussant: Maria Werlau, Executive Director of Cuba Archive
Enrique S. Pumar, Helena Solo-Gabriele, Joseph Treaster, and Loyer Muñoz-Silva, “Polarization and Bi-Directional Public Health Impacts: Lessons from the Cuban-US Experience”
Sergio Díaz-Briquets and Jorge Pérez-Lopez, “Preserving the National Patrimony and the Social Safety Net While Preventing an Oligarchic Takeover in Cuba: Thoughts on Creating a Tourism Infrastructure Patrimonial Fund”
Charles Martin Remien and Carlos Martínez, George Mason University, “Seizing the Means of Reproduction: The Effect of the Castro Revolution on Fertility”
Silvia Pedraza, University of Michigan, “Cuba 2016-2026: Exit vs. Voice or Exit and Voice?”
Saturday September 26, 3:00-3:15 PMCoffee BreakSponsored by CasaCuba
Saturday September 26, 3:15-4:40 PM14. Recent Economic and Social DevelopmentsChair: Ricardo Herrero, Cuba Study Group
Discussant: Ricardo Torres. American University
Paolo Spadoni, Augusta University, “The Deepening Crisis of Cuba’s Tourism Industry”
Tamarys L. Bahamonde, CUNY and Center for Latin America and Latino Studies, American University, “Transformaciones del 2026, políticas públicas y gobernanza”
Elizabeth Guilarte Barinaga, “Cuba ante la reforma estructural: la pérdida de capacidades y el deterioro del capital humano (2019-2025)”
Sharon Qiu, George Mason University, “The Rise of MiPyMe in Post-pandemic Cuba: Transformation and Challenges to the Private Livelihood”
Saturday September 26, 3:15-4:40 PM15. Legal FrameworkChair: Javier Garcia Bengochea, MD, FAANS, Board Certified Neurological Surgeon
Discussant: Jordi Martínez-Cid, Martínez-Cid Law, and President, Cuban American Bar Association
Rolando Anillo, Cuban Claims Owners’ Association, “Settlement of Claims: Legal Framework and Resolution”
Diana Bautista, Milan Bar Association; Studio Legale Diana Bautista, Milan, Italy, “Rebus sic stantibus, pacta sunt servanda: los desafíos jurídicos de la transición y reconstrucción del marco de inversión en Cuba”
Juan Carlos Albizu-Campos, Centro Cristiano de Reflexión y Diálogo--Cuba, " La población de Cuba hoy"
Arturo Felipe Hernández, University of Nottingham, “Transitional Constitutionalism in Cuba: Legal Pitfalls & Rule-of-Law Safeguards During Democratic Reconstruction”